FC 08 Homburg vs Wattenscheid 09 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
KAI
2 - 1
HOM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAU
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
ERK
0 - 0
HOM
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
HOM
1 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
HOM
0 - 2
ROT
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
WAT
3 - 3
FCB
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
EIN
0 - 2
WAT
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
WAT
1 - 1
KAI
62%
20%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
GUT
2 - 0
WAT
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
WAT
4 - 2
PRE
37%
24%
38%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |