FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
SAA
2 - 3
HOM
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
0 - 2
TSV
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
1 - 1
AUG
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
4 - 0
WWO
57%
22%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
TSV
0 - 0
HOM
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 15 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
VFR
4 - 0
WWO
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
HEI
0 - 0
VFR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 5
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
FCM
2 - 0
VFR
63%
19%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
BAY
2 - 0
VFR
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |