FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Bürstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
BNE
2 - 1
HOM
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
EIN
2 - 0
HOM
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
HOM
1 - 0
EPP
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1980 |
AUG
3 - 5
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
HOM
0 - 0
HES
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
BUR
2 - 1
SAA
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
BUR
2 - 3
SGF
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
BAY
0 - 0
BUR
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 4
ULM
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
FRE
3 - 2
BUR
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |