FC 08 Homburg vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1989 |
SCF
1 - 0
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1989 |
HOM
3 - 0
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
OFC
0 - 1
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
HOM
3 - 0
VIK
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
WAT
2 - 2
HOM
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1989 |
OSN
4 - 3
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
OSN
2 - 0
DAR
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1989 |
VIK
1 - 1
OSN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
OSN
1 - 3
ROT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
EBT
1 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |