FC 08 Homburg vs VfB Theley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
BNE
3 - 1
HOM
36%
26%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HAL
2 - 0
HOM
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
HOM
1 - 0
EIS
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
HAU
0 - 2
HOM
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
HOM
0 - 1
MAY
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Theley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
VBT
0 - 1
RWH
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
VBT
3 - 0
PFE
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
TUM
1 - 1
VBT
28%
26%
46%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
WIR
0 - 0
VBT
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
VBT
2 - 3
HAM
43%
26%
32%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |