FC 08 Homburg vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
SAA
2 - 3
HOM
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
HOM
2 - 0
SGF
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
BAY
1 - 1
HOM
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1980 |
HOM
2 - 3
ULM
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
HOM
3 - 0
SGL
77%
14%
10%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
VFB
2 - 0
TEN
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
FCB
3 - 1
VFB
60%
19%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
VFB
0 - 1
ROT
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
OSN
4 - 1
VFB
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
VFB
3 - 3
WAT
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |