FC 08 Homburg vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
WUP
1 - 2
HOM
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
HOM
0 - 0
AAA
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1995 |
HOM
2 - 1
MUN
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
FCB
2 - 1
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SVS
1 - 2
HOM
34%
23%
43%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
VER
2 - 1
FCB
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
EIN
3 - 2
VER
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
VER
2 - 0
WAT
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
KAI
1 - 5
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
VER
1 - 1
HAU
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |