FC 08 Homburg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
HOM
1 - 0
MEC
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AWA
0 - 1
HOM
23%
23%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
ELV
1 - 2
HOM
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
BET
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RVO
2 - 4
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 1
HOL
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
REU
1 - 4
ULM
23%
24%
52%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
ULM
0 - 0
SPI
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
ULM
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ULM
3 - 2
OFF
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |