FC 08 Homburg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 1
HOM
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
HOM
3 - 4
AAA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
ROT
4 - 1
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
HOM
3 - 1
STP
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
BWB
2 - 0
HOM
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
ULM
0 - 1
USO
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
ULM
4 - 1
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 1
ULM
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
ULM
3 - 1
AAA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1984 |
ULM
3 - 2
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |