FC 08 Homburg vs Auersmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BET
2 - 2
HOM
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
PIR
3 - 3
HOM
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
3 - 0
HBI
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
EIS
0 - 1
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 0
HAU
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUE
2 - 0
PIR
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HBI
1 - 4
AUE
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AUE
3 - 1
EIS
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HAU
4 - 1
AUE
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AUE
3 - 1
IDA
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |