FC 08 Homburg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
BWB
2 - 0
HOM
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
HOM
3 - 1
OFC
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
SAA
1 - 0
HOM
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
HOM
3 - 2
SVS
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1984 |
KÖL
0 - 0
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
STP
1 - 5
USO
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 0
STP
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
STP
1 - 1
WAT
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
AAA
4 - 0
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1984 |
STP
2 - 0
ROT
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |