FC 08 Homburg vs Ingelheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 0
SAA
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
EBK
0 - 0
HOM
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 5
WIR
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 3
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
HOM
3 - 2
HAL
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
ING
0 - 2
SAA
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
ING
0 - 2
WWO
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SAL
3 - 0
ING
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
IDA
3 - 0
ING
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ING
2 - 1
HAL
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |