FC 08 Homburg vs Ingelheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 3
HOM
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
HOM
0 - 1
IDA
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
WIR
1 - 1
HOM
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
HOM
0 - 2
HAU
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
WWO
1 - 1
HOM
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ING
1 - 0
WWO
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
PIR
2 - 0
ING
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ING
2 - 1
HAL
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TUS
2 - 0
ING
75%
17%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
EBK
3 - 1
ING
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |