FC 08 Homburg vs Bad Breisig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BNE
3 - 0
HOM
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KOL
2 - 1
HOM
20%
23%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HOM
4 - 0
BET
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AWA
0 - 1
HOM
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
ELV
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Breisig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BBE
0 - 1
MET
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PIR
3 - 1
BBE
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BBE
1 - 2
MEC
36%
25%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
WIR
4 - 0
BBE
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BBE
1 - 2
KOL
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |