FC 08 Homburg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17%
76.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
HOM
2 - 0
BNE
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
MAY
1 - 1
HOM
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
HOM
2 - 1
MAI
26%
27%
47%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
EIN
3 - 1
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
EBK
0 - 0
HOM
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
FCN
0 - 2
S04
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
S04
1 - 0
EIN
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
RTV
0 - 3
S04
34%
26%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
S04
1 - 1
HAN
58%
25%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HSV
0 - 1
S04
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |