FC 08 Homburg vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
VFB
2 - 4
HOM
18%
18%
64%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
RVO
1 - 0
HOM
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
HOM
1 - 1
SGF
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
WAL
2 - 0
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1979 |
HOM
4 - 5
OFC
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1979 |
KSC
5 - 1
SCF
74%
14%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
SCF
2 - 0
EIN
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
SCF
5 - 1
RVO
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
SGF
0 - 0
SCF
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1979 |
SCF
6 - 1
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |