FC 08 Homburg vs Salmrohr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ETR
1 - 8
HOM
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 0
PIR
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 2
HOM
29%
25%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HOM
3 - 0
BNE
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ROB
1 - 1
HOM
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salmrohr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 4
SAL
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
BNE
52%
23%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GON
0 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
4 - 2
ARL
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ZWE
5 - 2
SAL
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |