FC 08 Homburg vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
EIN
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
HAU
4 - 2
HOM
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
0 - 2
ROT
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
VER
4 - 0
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 0
PRE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SAA
6 - 2
HAU
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
ROT
1 - 1
SAA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
SAA
2 - 1
VER
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
PRE
4 - 2
SAA
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SAA
0 - 0
AAA
57%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |