FC 08 Homburg vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1989 |
MEP
2 - 2
HOM
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
HOM
1 - 1
OSN
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
SCF
1 - 0
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1989 |
HOM
3 - 0
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
OFC
0 - 1
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1989 |
SAA
2 - 0
OSN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
DAR
0 - 0
SAA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
SAA
0 - 0
VIK
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1989 |
ROT
1 - 1
SAA
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1989 |
SAA
2 - 1
EBT
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |