FC 08 Homburg vs Saarbrücken II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
WWO
0 - 0
HOM
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
ING
2 - 2
HOM
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
BNE
54%
25%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MEC
1 - 2
HOM
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
HOM
2 - 2
PIR
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saarbrücken II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
SAA
4 - 1
HAU
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SAA
5 - 1
BET
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
HAL
0 - 3
SAA
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SAA
1 - 5
SVW
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
WIR
1 - 1
SAA
39%
26%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |