FC 08 Homburg vs Saarbrücken II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
HBI
0 - 3
HOM
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
HOM
3 - 1
HAL
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
HOM
2 - 3
MAI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
BNE
0 - 2
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
PIR
1 - 0
HOM
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Saarbrücken II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2001 |
SAA
2 - 2
EBK
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
HAM
3 - 0
SAA
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
SAA
5 - 0
MET
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
KAI
2 - 1
SAA
69%
20%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
SAA
2 - 2
WWO
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |