FC 08 Homburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
HOM
1 - 1
SAA
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
EIN
3 - 1
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
GET
2 - 1
HOM
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
HOM
3 - 0
BSC
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1998 |
PRE
0 - 1
HOM
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
BSC
1 - 1
ROT
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ROT
3 - 0
FCR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
VER
5 - 4
ROT
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
ROT
2 - 2
EIN
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 2
PRE
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |