FC 08 Homburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
PAD
4 - 0
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
HOM
2 - 2
BSC
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
HOM
3 - 4
KAI
14%
21%
65%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 4
HOM
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
HOM
2 - 2
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
ROT
0 - 0
FCB
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
EIN
1 - 0
ROT
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1995 |
ROT
2 - 1
WAT
78%
15%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
KAI
2 - 2
ROT
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
ROT
2 - 1
HAU
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |