FC 08 Homburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
BAY
1 - 1
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
HOM
2 - 0
EBT
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
M05
0 - 0
HOM
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
HOM
1 - 1
AAA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1989 |
USO
0 - 2
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
ROT
2 - 1
EBT
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 3
BWB
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
AAA
3 - 1
ROT
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
ROT
1 - 5
F95
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
S04
1 - 1
ROT
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |