FC 08 Homburg vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
GET
1 - 1
HOM
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 3
WUP
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 3
HOM
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 1
SAA
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
EIN
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
RWA
1 - 0
HAU
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
ROT
3 - 0
RWA
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
RWA
1 - 2
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
PRE
3 - 2
RWA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
RWA
1 - 1
AAA
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |