FC 08 Homburg vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
BNE
0 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
HOM
0 - 2
SAA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1995 |
SAL
2 - 1
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
STP
5 - 0
HOM
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
HOM
4 - 1
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
PRE
3 - 3
FCB
59%
23%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
EIN
1 - 0
PRE
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1995 |
PRE
3 - 1
WAT
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1995 |
FCB
1 - 3
PRE
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
PRE
2 - 1
VIK
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |