FC 08 Homburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
AUG
1 - 1
HOM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 0
MUN
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
FSV
1 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 3
SSV
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
PIR
3 - 2
HOM
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
M05
4 - 2
RVO
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
SVS
5 - 2
M05
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
M05
1 - 5
SGF
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 1
M05
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
BAY
4 - 3
M05
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |