FC 08 Homburg vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
EIN
3 - 1
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
EBK
0 - 0
HOM
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 1
MEC
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
KAI
2 - 0
HOM
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 2
PIR
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
MAI
3 - 2
MEC
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
KAI
2 - 1
MAI
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
MAI
0 - 0
PIR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
WIR
0 - 5
MAI
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAI
10 - 0
KOL
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |