FC 08 Homburg vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BET
0 - 3
HOM
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 0
RWH
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 0
MAY
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
MEC
2 - 3
HOM
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
HOM
5 - 0
HBI
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PIR
2 - 0
MAI
49%
25%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
EBK
1 - 2
MAI
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MAI
0 - 0
WWO
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 0
MAI
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MAI
0 - 2
ETR
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -1 |