FC 08 Homburg vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
HOM
1 - 1
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1977 |
FCN
2 - 0
HOM
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
HOM
3 - 2
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1977 |
WWO
0 - 0
HOM
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
HOM
5 - 0
BAU
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
KOL
4 - 0
KSC
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1977 |
KSC
2 - 0
AUG
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
DAR
3 - 2
KSC
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1977 |
KSC
6 - 0
WUR
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
FRE
2 - 2
KSC
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | -1 |