FC 08 Homburg vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 4
HOM
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
HOM
2 - 2
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
WUP
1 - 2
HOM
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
HOM
0 - 0
AAA
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1995 |
HOM
2 - 1
MUN
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
KAI
2 - 2
KSC
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
BET
1 - 0
KAI
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
HSV
1 - 0
KAI
28%
25%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
KAI
2 - 0
F95
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
KAI
1 - 3
BET
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |