FC 08 Homburg vs FSV Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
FCH
2 - 2
HOM
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
0 - 1
FRE
77%
15%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
BAU
1 - 4
HOM
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
5 - 0
AUG
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 3
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FSV Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
FSV
0 - 3
OFC
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
WWO
3 - 1
FSV
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
FSV
4 - 1
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SVS
2 - 0
FSV
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
FSV
0 - 1
EIN
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |