FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1980 |
SAA
3 - 2
HOM
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
HOM
2 - 1
FCN
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
FSV
1 - 0
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
HOM
0 - 0
DAR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
MTV
0 - 1
HOM
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1980 |
FRE
3 - 2
SCF
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
RVO
1 - 3
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
FRE
2 - 2
SGF
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
WAL
1 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
FRE
4 - 1
OFC
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |