FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
STU
2 - 2
HOM
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HOM
1 - 1
GIE
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
STE
2 - 1
HOM
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HOM
4 - 4
ULM
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
HOM
1 - 0
BAL
70%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 1
HES
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
KOB
1 - 3
FRE
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 1
FRE
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
STU
1 - 2
FRE
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ULM
2 - 0
FRE
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |