FC 08 Homburg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1988 |
KFC
5 - 1
HOM
72%
16%
11%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
HOM
1 - 1
RTV
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1988 |
KAI
1 - 0
HOM
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1988 |
HOM
1 - 0
KSC
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
HAN
5 - 1
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1988 |
KÖL
0 - 2
F95
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1988 |
ROT
1 - 0
KÖL
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1988 |
SCF
1 - 6
KÖL
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
KÖL
4 - 2
OFC
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
AAA
2 - 0
KÖL
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |