FC 08 Homburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
BVB
3 - 0
HOM
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
HOM
1 - 1
BRE
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
STP
1 - 1
HOM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1989 |
AHA
2 - 1
HOM
29%
25%
45%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1989 |
HOM
2 - 1
LEV
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
FCN
2 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
FCN
3 - 0
F95
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
BVB
2 - 1
FCN
71%
17%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
HZE
0 - 4
FCN
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1989 |
FCN
1 - 1
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |