FC 08 Homburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
HOM
0 - 2
HSV
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
HSV
0 - 3
HOM
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
WAL
0 - 0
HOM
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
HOM
3 - 2
BYM
16%
24%
59%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 0
HOM
69%
17%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
FCN
1 - 1
WAL
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
EBT
2 - 3
FCN
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
BYM
1 - 0
FCN
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1987 |
FCN
0 - 0
BVB
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCN
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |