FC 08 Homburg vs FC Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
ERK
1 - 5
HOM
32%
27%
42%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
HOM
0 - 0
WAT
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1996 |
PAD
1 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1996 |
ROT
1 - 2
HOM
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 0
PAD
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
FCB
0 - 0
HAU
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
ROT
1 - 1
FCB
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1996 |
FCB
0 - 2
VER
36%
27%
36%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 1996 |
SAL
4 - 1
FCB
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
FCB
0 - 3
ROT
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |