FC 08 Homburg vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
RWA
0 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
HOM
0 - 1
GET
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
WUP
3 - 1
HOM
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
HOM
1 - 2
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
SAA
2 - 0
HOM
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ERK
3 - 1
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
PRE
0 - 1
ERK
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ERK
2 - 0
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1997 |
FCR
1 - 1
ERK
50%
27%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ERK
3 - 0
ELV
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |