FC 08 Homburg vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
WAT
0 - 2
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
HOM
3 - 0
PAD
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 1
RWA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
GET
1 - 1
HOM
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 3
WUP
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1996 |
ROT
2 - 0
ERK
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
ERK
5 - 1
HAU
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
VER
4 - 0
ERK
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
ERK
0 - 2
PRE
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
AAA
1 - 2
ERK
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |