FC 08 Homburg vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
GUT
4 - 2
HOM
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
HOM
7 - 2
PRE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
BNE
0 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
HOM
0 - 2
SAA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1995 |
SAL
2 - 1
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 2
FCB
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
EIN
3 - 0
ERK
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 1
WAT
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
KAI
1 - 0
ERK
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1995 |
ERK
4 - 0
HAU
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |