FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
HAU
4 - 2
HOM
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
0 - 2
ROT
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
VER
4 - 0
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 0
PRE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
AAA
3 - 2
HOM
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
EIN
1 - 1
ERK
42%
28%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
HAU
2 - 1
EIN
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
EIN
2 - 0
WAT
19%
26%
55%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ROT
3 - 0
EIN
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
EIN
0 - 1
PAD
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |