FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1981 |
EPP
0 - 5
HOM
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
HOM
4 - 2
AUG
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
HES
1 - 0
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
HOM
2 - 2
SCF
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
DAR
4 - 0
HOM
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1981 |
EIN
0 - 1
SAA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
SGF
2 - 0
EIN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
EIN
4 - 2
BAY
52%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 1
EIN
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
EIN
2 - 0
FRE
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |