FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
KSC
1 - 3
HOM
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RTV
1 - 0
HOM
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
MTV
3 - 4
HOM
23%
26%
52%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
HOM
0 - 1
WUR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
HOM
0 - 0
RTV
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
EIN
2 - 1
AUG
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
WAL
2 - 0
EIN
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
EIN
2 - 3
BAY
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
SAA
2 - 2
EIN
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
OFC
4 - 1
EIN
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |