FC 08 Homburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
HOM
1 - 3
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
KFC
2 - 1
HOM
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1987 |
HOM
1 - 0
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
F95
1 - 0
HOM
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
S04
4 - 0
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
STU
3 - 0
BVB
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
BVB
1 - 1
KFC
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
BVB
6 - 0
WAL
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
LEV
3 - 2
BVB
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 2
BYM
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |