FC 08 Homburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
EBT
2 - 1
HOM
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
AAA
2 - 2
HOM
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
HOM
6 - 2
USO
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
LEM
0 - 4
HOM
7%
16%
78%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
VIK
3 - 0
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
M05
1 - 0
BAY
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
BAY
1 - 1
USO
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
KÖL
3 - 1
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
BAY
1 - 1
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
GED
0 - 5
BAY
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 8 | 57 | 0 |