FC 08 Homburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
PIR
1 - 2
HOM
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
HOM
6 - 2
FSV
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
KOL
7 - 2
HOM
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SVS
4 - 3
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 1
EIN
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
BAY
3 - 2
STU
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
AUG
5 - 1
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
BAY
2 - 0
AUG
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
BSV
1 - 1
BAY
22%
23%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |