FC 08 Homburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
SVS
2 - 1
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
HOM
2 - 2
SGF
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1975 |
VFR
4 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
HOM
3 - 3
SAA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
AUG
1 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
BAY
0 - 0
WWO
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
HEI
1 - 3
BAY
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1975 |
BAY
4 - 1
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
BAY
2 - 1
AUG
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
SVS
2 - 0
BAY
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |