FC 08 Homburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
58.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1987 |
EIN
4 - 0
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
HOM
3 - 1
RTV
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1987 |
BRE
6 - 0
HOM
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
HOM
0 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1987 |
KAI
5 - 0
HOM
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 1
BYM
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAL
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
LEV
0 - 0
BYM
25%
26%
48%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1987 |
BYM
2 - 1
EIN
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
BYM
2 - 0
BWB
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |