FC 08 Homburg vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 0
AUG
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
DAR
3 - 1
HOM
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 0
WUR
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 1
SGF
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 0
HOM
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 1
PIR
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
AUG
1 - 1
BAY
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 1
FSV
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
DAR
4 - 1
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 0
OFC
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |